AUROBINDO PHARMA
                            
                            
                                
                                
                                    
                                        
                                            | BSE ticker code | 524804 | 
                                        
                                            | NSE ticker code | AUROPHARMA | 
                                        
                                            | Major activity | Pharmaceuticals | 
                                        
                                            | Managing Director | N. Govindarajan | 
                                        
                                            | Equity capital | Rs. 58.59 crore; FV Rs. 01 | 
                                        
                                            | 52 week high/low | Rs. 1023 / Rs. 446 | 
                                        
                                            | CMP | Rs. 942.75 | 
                                        
                                            | Market Capitalisation | Rs. 55239.36 crore | 
                                        
                                            | Recommendation | Buy at declines | 
                                    
                                 
                             
                            Flying high in US pharma market
                            
                                Hyderabad-based Aurobindo Pharma is a leading Indian pharmaceutical company which earns
                                almost 90
                                per cent of its revenues from abroad, with the US leading the
                                list of overseas buyers and contributing almost half of the
                                company’s revenues. The three and a half decade-old company is engaged in the
                                manufacture
                                of generic formulations and active
                                pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs). It
                                holds a strong position in the US
                                market, where it is the fifth largest
                                generic pharma company. The prospects for the company are highly
                                healthy, going ahead.
                            
                            
                                Consider:
                            
                            
                                
                                    - 
                                        The company can be called
                                        an Indian multinational pharma
                                        company going by its global sales. It
                                        has 26 manufacturing facilities for its
                                        API and formulations businesses, which have requisite approvals from various
                                        regulatory authorities including the US
                                        FDA, the UK MHRA, Japan’s PMDA, WHO, Health Canada,
                                        MCC South Africa and ANVISA Brazil. The company has
                                        also entered Poland and the Czech Republic with the acquisition of Apotex’s
                                        commercial operations. It has also strengthened its US presence with the
                                        acquisition of the dermatology and oral solid business from Sandoz. Today, the
                                        US
                                        accounts for half the revenues of the company and other
                                        overseas countries for around 40 per cent. The company
                                        has strengthened its presence in many European countries,
                                        including France and Italy, where it ranks among the largest
                                        generic companies.
                                    
- 
                                        Aurobindo has one of the best product approval
                                        rates and launch pipelines in the US. Despite pricing pressures, it is one of
                                        the few companies able to mitigate this
                                        risk due to continuous product launches and approvals.
                                        A sturdy product pipeline and expected traction from recently launched products
                                        ensures a strong growth outlook
                                        for the US business, driven by improving traction from
                                        the generic injectables space. The European business too
                                        is on the path to recover with demand normalising and showing
                                        signs of improvement.
                                    
- 
                                        With a view to meeting
                                        the rising demand for its products, the
                                        company is expanding its capacities
                                        by setting up a greenfield facility at
                                        Vizag aimed at Europe and emerging
                                        markets, and is also setting up a facility in the US aimed at US markets. The
                                        expanded capacities are expected to
                                        be ready within a year or so and provide ample visibility of the growth ahead.
                                        Going ahead, the
                                        company is looking to build a presence in the speciality segment which includes
                                        segments of biosimilars, oncology inhalers and transdermal patches, among
                                        others, which is likely to
                                        support growth. Further, the company’s capacity of 450 million doses would be
                                        ready within the next 3 to 5 months and
                                        is likely to be operational by the end of July 2021.
                                    
- 
                                        Aurobindo plans to launch around 60 products in
                                        the US in the current year and expects to sustain the launch
                                        momentum into the next year as well. The new launches would
                                        include injectables which are a key growth driver. The company has 70 assets
                                        under development, 50 assets under review and 80 approved products, thus
                                        pointing towards a
                                        sturdy product pipeline which would unfold going ahead.
                                        Successful clearance from the USFDA for its plants is awaited
                                        as the company has submitted its responses.
                                    
- 
                                        In its programme to launch new
                                        products, the company’s focus on
                                        injectables to drive growth augurs well. It
                                        has a strong product portfolio in the
                                        injectables space, which comprises 80
                                    
- 
                                        approved products, pointing to a sturdy
                                        product pipeline. In addition to this, the
                                        company is also setting up a new facility
                                        aimed at the US markets, with a focus
                                        on high-value and low-volume products.
                                        The new facility will also enable the company to diversify its risk related to
                                        unit 4
                                        as it is the only plant catering to the US
                                        markets as of now. The new facility will
                                        also enable the company to benefit from
                                        local tenders, if any. Collectively, the
                                        company is targeting revenues of around
                                        $650-700 million over the next three
                                        years from injectables, from around $380
                                        million as of now.
                                    
- 
                                        Apart from injectables, the complex generics space is fast gaining traction,
                                        that too at a time when the complex
                                        generics market is slated to be around $20
                                        billion over the next 3 years from $16 billion at present. Currently, the
                                        company
                                        has a small presence in complex generics
                                        but it looking to enhance its presence
                                        gradually in the segment going ahead.
                                        Collectively, a strong overall new product
                                        pipeline, focus on the injectables, business and a gradual improvement in the
                                        complex generics space would be over the
                                        next 3 to 4 years. For the US business
                                        overall, sales are expected to clock a
                                        double digit – 13 per cent – CAGR over
                                        fiscal years 2021-2023. Overall the company expects to incur a capex of $200-
                                        220 million during the next two years.
                                    
                                The company has been growing at
                                a fast pace. During the last five years, its
                                sales have expanded from Rs. 9323 crore
                                in the fiscal 2016 to Rs. 32266 crore in
                                the fiscal 2020 with the net profit during
                                this period rising from Rs. 1620 crore to
                                Rs. 1873 crore. During the next year we
                                expect an EPS of Rs. 35 per share of the
                                face value of Re. 1.
                            
                            
                                PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (Rs. in crore)
                            
                            
                                
                                    
                                        
                                            | Year | Net Sales | Net Profit | EPS (Rs.) | Div (%) | BV (%) | RONW (%) | 
                                    
                                    
                                        
                                            | 2018-19 | 11938.70 | 1529.73 | 26.10 | 250.00 | 193.70 | 19.68 | 
                                        
                                            | 2019-20 | 23098.51 | 2850.73 | 48.70 | 300.00 | 222.30 | 18.57 | 
                                        
                                            | 2020-21(E) | 19034.00 | 3010.00 | 57.34 | 300.00 | 227.10 | 19.10 | 
                                        
                                            | 2021-22(E) | 23249.19 | 3279.40 | 53.50 | 325.00 | 310.20 | 22.35 | 
                                    
                                
                             
                         
                        
                            
                            COCHIN SHIPYARD
                            
                            
                                
                                
                                    
                                        
                                            | BSE ticker code | 540678 | 
                                        
                                            | NSE ticker code | COCHINSHIP | 
                                        
                                            | Major activity | Shipping | 
                                        
                                            | Chairman | Madhu S. Nair | 
                                        
                                            | Equity capital | Rs. 131.34 crore; FV Rs. 10 | 
                                        
                                            | 52 week high/low | Rs. 426 / Rs. 218 | 
                                        
                                            | CMP | Rs. 350 | 
                                        
                                            | Market Capitalisation | Rs. 4605 crore | 
                                        
                                            | Recommendation | Buy at declines | 
                                    
                                 
                             
                            Pole player in ship-building
                            
                                Cochin Shipyard, which will celebrate its golden jubilee a year from now, is a
                                Government of India-owned company (the government holding 75.21 per cent equity of the
                                company) and the country’s largest ship-building and ship
                                maintenance facility. During the last 50 years, it has emerged
                                as a front-runner in the Indian shipbuilding and ship repair segment.
                                It has built platform supply vessels
                                and double-hulled oil tankers. Presently it is building the first indigenous aircraft
                                carrier for the Indian
                                Navy. The company is also a wellknown player on the global shipbuilding front and by
                                now has exported 45 ships to various commercial clients overseas. The
                                company’s outlook is highly promising.
                            
                            
                                Consider:
                            
                            
                                
                                    - 
                                        The company has built and repaired some of the
                                        largest ships in India and is currently building the prestigious indigenous
                                        aircraft carrier for the Indian Navy. Over
                                        the years, it has successfully responded to fluctuations in
                                        the ship-building requirements of the market and has
                                        evolved from building bulk carriers to smaller and more
                                        technically sophisticated vessels such as passenger vessels
                                        and offshore support vessels. The company has worked
                                        with several leading technology firms in the industry, including Royce Marine
                                        (Norway), GTT (France) and Yard
                                        Group (Norway). This has added to the credibility of the
                                        company in the international markets. Its key ship-building clients in the
                                        domestic space include the Indian Navy,
                                        the Indian Coast Guard, DRDO, A&N Administration and
                                        the JSW group. The company has also successfully undertaken repairs of various
                                        types of vessels, including
                                        upgradation of ships of the oil exploration industry, as well
                                        as periodical maintenance, repair and life extension of
                                        ships.
                                    
DEFENCE MARKET
                                    - 
                                        The Indian ship-building industry continues to be
                                        driven by defence requirements.
                                        The Indian Navy is planning to increase its fleet from the present 137
                                        to 200 by 2027. This is expected
                                        to provide a spurt to the indigenous ship-building segment. Besides, the
                                        Indian Navy’s
                                        indigenisation plan is expected to
                                        give a fillip to the growth of ancillaries and generally improve the
                                        ship-building environment in the
                                        country. The vision of GoI as per
                                        the draft Defence Production Policy is to “lead the world in
                                        the aerospace and defence industries,” with active participation of the public
                                        and private sector, fulfilling the objective of self-reliance as well as the
                                        demands of other friendly
                                        countries.
                                    
- 
                                        As per the AT Kearney report on the ship repair
                                        industry, though India’s share in global ship repair is less
                                        than 1%, the country’s location is favourable with 7-9% of
                                        global trade passing within 300 nautical miles of the coastline.
                                    
- 
                                        As per the AT Kearny report, India has a market
                                        potential of Rs 2,600 crore from repairs to the domestic fleet,
                                        of which only a 15% share is currently captured. The report
                                        has further highlighted that India can grow its ship repair industry to Rs
                                        9,000 crore in the next 10 years through infrastructure and process
                                        improvement. The report has highlighted
                                        low levels of process efficiency, lack of infrastructure to service vessels
                                        above 10,000 DWT and a weak ancillary landscape as road blocks for
                                        developing the industry.
                                        A key recommendation
                                        of the report was to lease
                                        out the repair facilities at major ports to specialists to augment revenue
                                        opportunities.
                                    
MoUs WITH CENTRE
                                    - 
                                        In line with the above recommendation, one of the major initiatives
                                        under the Government of India’s
                                        ‘Sagarmala’ project was to lease out the
                                        ship repair facilities available at the major ports to specialists to generate
                                        more
                                        revenue and create a positive ship repair
                                        industry climate. Based on this, CSL was
                                        offered the first opportunity for ship repair operations and management of the
                                        Indira Dock on January 18, 2019. CSL
                                        has also signed an MoU with Kolkata Port
                                        Trust to take over their Netaji Subhas
                                        Dock on lease.
                                    
- 
                                        In November 2019, CSL entered into an agreement with the
                                        Andaman and Nicobar administration to
                                        commence its operations at Marine
                                        Dockyard, Port Blair, a facility that is
                                        currently being operated directly by the
                                        A&N administration. These initiatives
                                        would help better utilisation of existing
                                        ship repair facilities in the country and
                                        are likely to positively impact the
                                        company’s revenue. CSL has already
                                        delivered 500 passenger vessels to the
                                        A&N administration. All the above initiatives have given CSL a pan-India
                                        presence and the company now undertakes
                                        ship repairs at 5 locations — Mumbai,
                                        Kolkata, Port Blair, Hooghly and its existing dock at Kochi.
                                    
- 
                                        Cochin Shipyard is in the process of setting up a new dry dock at Kochi
                                        at a cost of Rs 1,799 crore, to be commissioned by 2022. Construction of the
                                        new dry dock commenced in 2018 and
                                        is currently progressing well. The new dry
                                        dock, measuring 310 x 75/60 x 13 m,
                                        with a 600T Ganty crane, will be capable of handling vessels upto Suezmax,
                                        aircraft carriers of 75,000 tonne displacement, jack-up rigs, LNG vessels, etc.
                                        The
                                        company has spent around Rs 500 crore
                                        on this project so far.
                                    
- 
                                        The company is also building
                                        an International Ship Repair Facility
                                        (ISRF) at a cost of Rs 970 crore, to be
                                        commissioned within a year. CSL will set
                                        up a ship lift system measuring 130 m x
                                        25 m with a lifting capacity of 6,000
                                        tonnes and 6 workstations. The facility
                                        can repair up to 85 vessels, and CSL will
                                        thereby be almost doubling the number
                                        of ships that can be repaired per year.
                                    
- 
                                        The company is also setting up
                                        a modern ship-building facility at
                                        Nazirgunge in West Bengal at a cost of
                                        Rs 170 crore. The facility is being set up
                                        by the company’s wholly-owned subsidiary, Hooghly Cochin Shipyard, which
                                        aims to construct various types of vessels like RO-RO vessels, cargo vessels
                                        for
                                        bulk, liquids and containers, passenger
                                        vessels and other watercraft for the fastgrowing inland waterways. This
                                        facility
                                        is expected to be completed in the first
                                        half of fiscal 2022.
                                    
- 
                                        The company has inked a pact
                                        with Dredging Corporation and IHC Holland BV to locally build world-class
                                        dredgers in India. Currently, the country
                                        depends on foreign dredging work worth
                                        Rs 2,000 crore per year. CSL will also
                                        invest in the equity capital of the
                                        Vishakhapatnam-based DCL.
                                    
                                All these developments augur well for
                                CSL, which has gone from strength to
                                strength during the last five years. With revenues expanding from Rs 1,995 crore in
                                fiscal 2016 to Rs 3,422 crore in fiscal 2020,
                                the company’s net profit zoomed from Rs
                                276 crore to Rs 638 crore during this period. Of course, during fiscal 2021, its
                                performance was hit on account of the pandemic. But from the next year, the company
                                will be back on the growth path.
                            
                            
                                CONSOLIDATED PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (Rs. in crore)
                            
                            
                                
                                    
                                        
                                            | Year | Net Sales | Net Profit | EPS (Rs.) | Div (%) | BV (%) | RONW (%) | 
                                    
                                    
                                        
                                            | 2018-19 | 2962.16 | 481.18 | 36.60 | 130.00 | 253.30 | 15.02 | 
                                        
                                            | 2019-20 | 3422.49 | 630.29 | 47.90 | 166.00 | 281.60 | 17.88 | 
                                        
                                            | 2020-21(E) | 2500.00 | 510.00 | 38.25 | 130.00 | 260.10 | 14.50 | 
                                        
                                            | 2021-22(E) | 4000.00 | 695.00 | 45.00 | 170.00 | 29.10 | 19.20 | 
                                    
                                
                             
                         
                        
                            
                            NAVA BHARAT VENTURES
                            
                            
                                
                                
                                    
                                        
                                            | BSE ticker code | 513023 | 
                                        
                                            | NSE ticker code | NBVENTURES | 
                                        
                                            | Major activity | Electric Utilities | 
                                        
                                            | Managing Director | P. Trivikrama Prasad | 
                                        
                                            | Equity capital | Rs. 35.26 crore; FV Rs. 02 | 
                                        
                                            | 52 week high/low | Rs. 79 / Rs 33 | 
                                        
                                            | CMP | Rs. 27.45 | 
                                        
                                            | Market Capitalisation | Rs. 1134 crore | 
                                        
                                            | Recommendation | Buy at declines | 
                                    
                                 
                             
                            Multiple products, safe bet
                            
                                Nava Bharat Ventures is a well-diversified, multilocational Indian multinational
                                company. It is engaged in the
                                businesses of power generation, ferro alloys, sugar, mining
                                activities, bio-fuels, healthcare and agri-business. It operates in India (Andhra
                                Pradesh, Telangana, Odisha, MP), South
                                East Asia (Malaysia, Singapore) and Africa (Zambia). The
                                company, being a multi-product
                                player, is a safe investment with
                                good chances of high appreciation.
                            
                            
                                Consider:
                            
                            
                                
                                    - 
                                        The company’s businesses are steadily growing. It is
                                        an established player in the field
                                        of ferro alloys, with an annual
                                        manufacturing capacity of
                                        200,000 tonnes per annum. Prospects for ferro alloys have improved
                                        substantially as the
                                        ferrochromium market has of late
                                        witnessed significant growth due to rising demand from
                                        the chemicals and steel industries. Moreover, the increasing research and
                                        development activities provide a huge
                                        market opportunity for key players like Nava Bharat Ventures operating in the
                                        ferrochromium market. After a prolonged dull period, the steel industry is fast
                                        coming into
                                        its own and this augurs well for ferrochromium manufacturers like Nava Bharat.
                                        The company has entered into a five-year (December 2020 to March 2025)
                                        agreement with Tata Steel
                                        Mining, the wholly owned subsidiary of Tata Steel, for conversion of high
                                        carbon ferrochrome. The agreement postulates that the entire smelting capacity
                                        of the Odisha plant
                                        will be dedicated to Tata Steel Mining to produce up to
                                        70,000 tonnes of high carbon ferrochrome per annum. The
                                        arrangement will provide long-term operational stability for
                                        the ferro alloy plant and associated captive power plant in
                                        Odisha. This augurs well for Nava Bharat to grow steadily
                                        going ahead.
                                    
- 
                                        Besides ferro alloys, the other major business activity of the company is power
                                        generation in India (Andhra
                                        Pradesh, Odisha) as well as in Zambia, where the
                                        company’s subsidiary Maamba Collieries, Zambia’s larget
                                        coalmine concessionaire, has developed a 300 MW power plant in
                                        partnership with the government
                                        of Zambia. However, while the
                                        Odisha power plant was facing
                                        metering and connectivity issues,
                                        the Zambia plant faced teething
                                        troubles before being commissioned. The Telangana plant had
                                        to be closed down in fiscal 2021.
                                        But in the first quarter of fiscal
                                        2022, the long-pending metering
                                        issue has been settled and power
                                        generation has resumed. Likewise,
                                        the Zambian plant has been ready to go on stream as the
                                        necessary parts for replacement have been procured and
                                        the teething troubles are over. Thus, the power business
                                        will start contributing much more to the topline as well as
                                        the bottomline.
                                    
- 
                                        As the company is a well-diversified entity, its
                                        overall performance has been quite satisfactory. During
                                        the last five years, its revenues have advanced from Rs
                                        989.27 crore in fiscal 2016 to Rs 1,080 crore in fiscal
                                        2020, with the profit at net level rising from Rs 111.22
                                        crore to Rs 128.56 crore during this period. With minor
                                        operational problems of some power plants over, and the
                                        agreement with the Tata Steel group for its Odisha mine,
                                        prospects going ahead are all the more encouraging. Despite the pandemic, the
                                        company has put up a highly satisfactory performance in Q3FY21, with
                                        consolidated total income amounting to Rs 709.90 crore, suggesting a
                                        28.16 per cent improvement over Rs 554 crore in the corresponding quarter a
                                        year ago, and a
                                        net profit of Rs 162 crore showing a 168
                                        per cent spurt over the corresponding
                                        quarter a year ago.
                                    
                                The company’s shares are available
                                around Rs 70.75. Investors who buy these
                                shares with a long-term perspective will
                                benefit substantially.
                            
                            
                                PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (Rs. in crore)
                            
                            
                                
                                    
                                        
                                            | Year | Net Sales | Net Profit | EPS (Rs.) | Div (%) | BV (%) | RONW (%) | 
                                    
                                    
                                        
                                            | 2018-19 | 1358.71 | 166.19 | 9.30 | 75.00 | 162.80 | 5.99 | 
                                        
                                            | 2019-20 | 1079.89 | 468.75 | 28.70 | 75.00 | 262.90 | 11.82 | 
                                        
                                            | 2020-21(E) | 820.00 | 125.00 | 8.10 | 50.00 | 170.10 | 8.60 | 
                                        
                                            | 2021-22(E) | 1100.00 | 175.00 | 12.40 | 60.00 | 210.50 | 10.35 |