INDIA ENERGY EXCHANGE
                            
                            
                                
                                
                                    
                                        
                                            | BSE ticker code | 503806 | 
                                        
                                            | NSE ticker code | SRF | 
                                        
                                            | Major activity | Diversified | 
                                        
                                            | Managing Director | Ashish Bharat Ram | 
                                        
                                            | Equity capital | Rs. 59.25 crore; FV Rs. 10 | 
                                        
                                            | 52 week high/low | Rs. 10355 / Rs. 3996 | 
                                        
                                            | CMP | Rs. 110168.80 | 
                                        
                                            | Market Capitalisation | Rs. 60245.26 crore | 
                                        
                                            | Recommendation | Buy at declines | 
                                    
                                 
                             
                            Market leader eyes huge energy pie
                            
                                Indian Energy Exchange is India’s premier energy marketplace, providing a nationwide
                                automated trading platform
                                for the physical delivery of electricity, renewable and certificated. Of late, the
                                company has pioneered cross-border electricity trade, expanding its power market beyond
                                India, in an
                                endeavour to create an integrated South Asian power market. It enjoys a virtual monopoly
                                with
                                a 92% marketshare, even as it is still
                                in the early stage of business. Obviously, prospects for the company are
                                highly promising.
                            
                            
                                Consider:
                            
                            
                                
                                    - 
                                        Powered by state-of-the-art
                                        and customer-centric technology, enabling efficient price discovery and
                                        facilitating the ease of power procurement, the company has a robust ecosystem
                                        of 6,800+ participants located across 29 states and 5 Union
                                        territories, consisting of 55+ distribution utilities and 500+ conventional
                                        generators. It also has a strong base of 4,400+ commercial
                                        and industrial consumers, representing industries such as
                                        metal, food processing, textile, cement, ceramic, chemicals,
                                        automobiles, information technology, institutional housing and
                                        real estate, as well as commercial entities.
                                        The company has ISO certifications for quality management, information
                                        management and environmental management since August 2016, and is approved and
                                        regulated by
                                        the Central Electricity Regulatory Commission. This year, India is facing a
                                        severe coal crisis, and a bourse with a near
                                        monopoly in electricity trading in India is drawing attention.
                                    
- 
                                        IEX, the country’s first energy exchange since its
                                        inception in 2008, is in the bluest of oceans – its only competitor, Power
                                        Exchange of India, would surface months later.
                                        A dozen years down the line, IEX still has a vice-like grip over
                                        the energy market — which in India means the electricity
                                        market — and the company’s fortunes look set for both external and internal
                                        reasons. As far as the external factor is concerned, energy markets in India are
                                        still evolving. Volumes
                                        are still extremely low, cueing fast growth. In a country that
                                        consumes 1.3 trillion Kwh of electricity a year, just 6% is traded
                                        over the exchange. Most of the electricity is sold by generators
                                        to buyers through long-term power purchase agreements
                                        (PPAs) that are typically spread over
                                        25 years. Thus, though the market will
                                        grow on its own, there is additional
                                        propulsion in the form of the government whip.
                                    
- 
                                        The government has
                                        now proposed a market-based economic dispatch (MBED), under which
                                        power supply will be routed through
                                        the market, and any difference between the market price and the price
                                        agreed under the PPAs will be squared
                                        up offline between the buyer and the
                                        seller. The idea is to deepen the market as well as provide a
                                        clear market-based price signal. This is a good step for IEX.
                                        Another driver is the longer-term contracts and derivatives
                                        trading in energy. A decision will be taken very soon. Whenever longer-term
                                        contracts – say, for three or six months —
                                        and derivatives are allowed, more players will jump to the
                                        exchanges. IEX’s blue ocean will hence get bigger.
                                    
- 
                                        Thanks to its monopoly power, IEX is going from
                                        strength to strength on the financial front. During the last
                                        five years, its revenues have steadily expanded from Rs 204
                                        crore in fiscal 2017 to Rs 317 crore in fiscal 2021, with the
                                        profit at net level inching up from Rs 113.57 crore to Rs
                                        213.49 crore during this period. The company’s financial
                                        position is very comfortable, with reserves at the end of March
                                        2017 standing at over Rs 500 crore – almost 17 times its
                                        equity capital of Rs 29.85 crore. Needless to say, a bonus
                                        issue is on the way.
                                    
                                Prospects for the company have got
                                a big boost from the fact that the country
                                is facing a severe coal crisis and the
                                government’s intent to push ahead with
                                reforms will change the dynamics in the
                                nation’s power sector. Even as the share
                                price has shot up recently, these stocks are
                                worth accumulating at every decline.
                            
                            
                                PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (Rs. in crore)
                            
                            
                                
                                    
                                        
                                            | Year | Net Sales | Net Profit | EPS (Rs.) | Div (%) | BV (%) | RONW (%) | 
                                    
                                    
                                        
                                            | 2019-20 | 294.16 | 165.04 | 5.50 | -- | 11.60 | 45.48 | 
                                        
                                            | 2020-21 | 257.13 | 165.89 | 9.50 | 250.0 | 12.70 | 44.59 | 
                                        
                                            | 2021-22 (E) | 360.10 | 239.40 | 7.35 | 400.0 | 19.10 | 44.15 | 
                                    
                                
                             
                         
                        
                            
                            TATA POWER
                            
                            
                                
                                
                                    
                                        
                                            | BSE ticker code | 500400 | 
                                        
                                            | NSE ticker code | TATAPOWER | 
                                        
                                            | Major activity | Electric Utilities | 
                                        
                                            | Chairman | N. Chandrasekaran | 
                                        
                                            | Equity capital | Rs. 319.56 crore; FV Re. 01 | 
                                        
                                            | 52 week high/low | Rs. 265 / Rs. 51 | 
                                        
                                            | CMP | Rs. 257.25 | 
                                        
                                            | Market Capitalisation | Rs. 82200.11 crore | 
                                        
                                            | Recommendation | Buy at declines | 
                                    
                                 
                             
                            On cusp of ‘renewable’ revolution
                            
                                Mumbai-headquartered Tata Power, a prestigious
                                Tata group company, is the country’s largest integrated power
                                company, with a presence across the entire power value chain
                                — generation of renewable as well as conventional power
                                (including hydro and thermal energy), transmission and distribution, coal and freight
                                logistics, and trading. The company is undergoing a renewable
                                revolution to do away with the conventional energy business. Prospects
                                for the company are highly attractive and the stock can emerge as a
                                multibagger.
                            
                            
                                Consider:
                            
                            
                                
                                    - 
                                        Shaken into action by the
                                        adverse impact of climate change on
                                        human beings and the economy, the
                                        world is now determined to go green.
                                        Taking its cue, the management of
                                        Tata Power has decided to jettison
                                        thermal power generation and expand its business in renewable energy. It aims to
                                        scale up its
                                        renewable portfolio from the current 4 GW to 15 GW by 2025
                                        and further to 25 GW by 2030, thereby achieving 80 per cent
                                        clear generation capacity, up from the current 31 per cent.
                                    
- 
                                        The company’s transition into the green segment is
                                        gaining strong momentum with nearly 40 per cent of
                                        marketshare enjoyed by its EV charging/solar EPC segments.
                                        Its solar pumps/solar rooftop business has witnessed huge
                                        growth during Q2FY22 with the highest ever order book of
                                        Rs 1,100 crore across solar pumps.
                                    
- 
                                        Till the pandemic badly impacted the company’s
                                        sales and earnings, it was doing quite well. During the last
                                        five years, its sales turnover had advanced from Rs 6,688
                                        crore in fiscal 2017 to Rs 7,933 crore in fiscal 2019 before
                                        declining to Rs 6,181 crore in fiscal 2021. Likewise, the profit
                                        at net level spurted from Rs 392.44 crore in fiscal 2017 to
                                        Rs 1,708 crore in fiscal 2019, before nosediving to Rs 921
                                        crore in fiscal 2021 under the Covid pandemic’s impact.
                                        However, with the waning impact of the pandemic from the
                                        current fiscal (2022) year, things have started changing fast.
                                        During Q1FY22, the company’s consolidated net profit shot
                                        up by 89.3 per cent, as compared to the corresponding quarter a year ago, on
                                        account of robust growth in the renewable energy business. The prospects will be
                                        much better going ahead.
                                    
- 
                                        The company’s growth
                                        focus is rooted in solar/wind power
                                        generation capacity, regulated
                                        power transmission/distribution
                                        and new ESG-positive businesses
                                        such as charging of electric vehicles,
                                        solar micro grids, rooftop solar and
                                        solar EPC. Regulated businesses in
                                        particular will provide steady earnings and cash flow.
                                    
- 
                                        Experts believe that
                                        growth in renewable assets and tax
                                        benefits will outweigh the losses in the company’s Mundra
                                        project, which has become a proverbial albatross around its
                                        neck. A rally in coal prices can swell the losses but profits from
                                        its Indonesian coal mine may provide a hedge. Benefits from
                                        ESG certification will be a bonus.
                                    
- 
                                        The company’s remarkable efforts in deleveraging
                                        the balance sheet, involving a debt reduction plan, has
                                        changed the outlook of the company. The company’s net
                                        debt of Rs 36,000 crore by March-end is 1.4 times net debtto-equity equated and
                                        4 times EBITDA. One-fourth of the
                                        debt was in regulated assets where interest costs were passed
                                        through tariffs. One-third of it was in renewables and the
                                        remaining 40 per cent was in the Mundra project and the
                                        coal SPV. The management now aims to monetise assets
                                        and reduce the debt-to-equity ratio to 1:1. Experts point out
                                        that the release of Rs 3,500-4,000 crore equity could come
                                        from non-core assets. Moreover, the renewable assets are
                                        ready for listing on bourses. That stake sale would provide it
                                        with cash to rebuild the debt. Thus, a debt-ridden company
                                        is going to be a totally
                                        debt-free entity.
                                    
                                Thus, a renewable
                                transition and deleveraging
                                of the balance sheet will
                                elevate a listless stock into
                                a multi-bagger.
                            
                            
                                CONSOLIDATED PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (Rs. in crore)
                            
                            
                                
                                    
                                        
                                            | Year | Net Sales | Net Profit | EPS (Rs.) | Div (%) | BV (%) | RONW (%) | 
                                    
                                    
                                        
                                            | 2018-2019 | 7932.83 | 385.30 | 1.40 | 130.0 | 52.50 | 2.84 | 
                                        
                                            | 2019-20 | 29136.37 | 241.17 | 0.80 | 155.0 | 64.70 | 1.38 | 
                                        
                                            | 2021-22 (E) | 37010.00 | 625.40 | 2.15 | 160.0 | 66.30 | 3.33 | 
                                        
                                            | 2020-2021(E) | 32468.10 | 609.73 | 1.90 | 155.0 | 65.20 | 3.14 | 
                                    
                                
                             
                         
                        
                            
                            TRIDENT
                            
                            
                                
                                
                                    
                                        
                                            | BSE ticker code | 521064 | 
                                        
                                            | NSE ticker code | TRIDENT | 
                                        
                                            | Major activity | Textiles | 
                                        
                                            | Managing Director | Rajiv Dewan | 
                                        
                                            | Equity capital | Rs. 509.60 crore; FV Re. 01 | 
                                        
                                            | 52 week high/low | Rs. 42 / Rs. 7 | 
                                        
                                            | CMP | Rs. 40.60 | 
                                        
                                            | Market Capitalisation | Rs. 20689.58 crore | 
                                        
                                            | Recommendation | Buy at declines | 
                                    
                                 
                             
                            Taking home textiles global
                            
                                Trident, a Ludhiana (Punjab)-headquartered company, is one of the fastest growing and
                                well-diversified companies engaged in the manufacture of yarn, textile, paper and
                                chemicals. The company is doing very well and viewed in the
                                context of its growth plans and operational efficiency, its future prospects are highly
                                promising.
                            
                            
                                Consider:
                            
                            
                                
                                    - 
                                        The company is a leading
                                        manufacturer of yarn and its product mix includes 100 per cent cotton blended
                                        yarn, special openended yarn, organic cotton core
                                        spun yarn, Eli-twist yarn, compact
                                        yarn, stub yarn and an exclusive
                                        range of value-added yarns like
                                        mélanges, package dyed, gassed
                                        mercerized yarn, zero twist, wrapper
                                        yarn, bamboo/cotton, modal/cotton,
                                        soya/cotton, polyester/cotton, BCI/
                                        cotton, MMP/cotton and 100 per
                                        cent dyed yarn. Trident employs over 5.83 lakh spindles and
                                        6,464 rotors across various locations, producing a massive
                                        output of 350 tonnes per day. The manufacturing unit is
                                        equipped with the latest technology such as a blowroom from
                                        Trustzehler, ring frames from Zinsset and Murata, compact
                                        attachments of Suessen and testing technologies from UT 5.
                                        All its good-quality yarns are very much in demand at home
                                        as well as abroad.
                                    
- 
                                        A half of yarns is used for captive production of
                                        home textiles, mainly bedsheets and bath linen, which contribute around 82 per
                                        cent of the company’s revenues. In fact,
                                        the company is the number one manufacturer of terry towels
                                        in the world. The company has acquired wide and varied
                                        global scale capabilities in terry towel and bed sheet production – from a
                                        variety of fibres and yarns to a range of colours
                                        and a complete collection of performance finishes and surface decorations.
                                    
- 
                                        Of late, India’s share in the global home textiles
                                        market is on the rise and has been increasing at a rate of 15
                                        per cent yoy. India also commands the third largest marketshare
                                        in the Asia-Pacific home textile market. This trend puts Trident – a highly
                                        capable manufacturer of bedsheets and bath
                                        linen — in a sweet spot as the export share of the company is
                                        on the increase. Its market share in terry towel exports to the
                                        US has shot up from 10 per cent in
                                        2014 to around 20 per cent by now.
                                    
- 
                                        The paper business
                                        contributes around 20 per cent to the
                                        turnover of the company. Trident is
                                        the largest manufacturer of wheat
                                        straw-based paper in the country.
                                        The company has a significant presence in copier paper which accounts
                                        for around 60 per cent of the
                                        company’s paper sales. As copier
                                        paper commands high margins, the
                                        company has concentrated on the
                                        production, quality and sales of this segment.
                                    
- 
                                        As all the divisions are doing very well, Trident is
                                        taking rapid strides on the financial front. During the last
                                        seven years, its sales turnover has expanded from Rs 3,737
                                        crore in fiscal 2015 to Rs 4,249 crore in fiscal 2019, before
                                        declining to Rs 4,538 crore in fiscal 2021. As the
                                        pandemic’s impact is on the wane, things have started improving at a fast pace.
                                        In Q1 of fiscal 2022, the company
                                        has achieved a sales turnover of Rs 1,477 crore as compared to Rs 708 crore in
                                        the corresponding quarter a year
                                        ago, and has earned a net profit of Rs 203.50 crore as
                                        against just Rs 10.10 crore in the earlier period. Going
                                        ahead, the company is expected to make rapid strides as
                                        its home textile products are very much in demand in overseas markets. The
                                        company will get the benefit from its
                                        strong long-term experience of being a leading player with
                                        a fully integrated manufacturing set-up. Trident appears to
                                        be at the start of a high-growth cycle driven by (a) remarkable growth in the
                                        bed linen segment, (b) higher utilisation
                                        in the bath linen segment, (c) a growing
                                        share in the global market and a high
                                        paper business margin driven by
                                        branded copier paper
                                    
                                Shares of the company are available
                                around Rs 40/41 (face value Re 1) and
                                are worth investing in with a long-term
                                perspective.
                            
                            
                                PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (Rs. in crore)
                            
                            
                                
                                    
                                        
                                            | Year | Net Series | Net Profit | EPS (Rs.) | Div (%) | BV (%) | RONW (%) | 
                                    
                                    
                                        
                                            | 2018-19 | 5219.52 | 370.92 | 7.30 | 30.0 | 6.10 | 12.90 | 
                                        
                                            | 2019-20 | 4727.67 | 337.89 | 0.70 | 36.0 | 6.00 | 11.27 | 
                                        
                                            | 2020-21 (E) | 4530.62 | 345.74 | 0.60 | 36.0 | 6.50 | 10.43 | 
                                        
                                            | 2021-22 (E) | 4913.15 | 372.65 | 0.95 | 40.0 | 6.76 | 11.40 |